Israel Political Brief December 25, 2012: New poll shows Israel’s leader Benjamin Netanyahu losing altitude

ISRAEL POLITICAL BRIEF

ISRAEL POLITICAL BRIEF: ISRAEL NEWS

New poll shows Israel’s leader losing altitude

Source: AP, 12-25-12

Netanyahu Netanyahu, who appeared to be cruising to victory a few weeks ago, suddenly appears vulnerable as national elections approach.(Photo: Gali Tibbon, AP)

Story Highlights

  • Poll shows Netanyahu poised for an election victory but losing support
  • The poll shows a continued surge by the Jewish Home Party
  • Jewish Home Party leader, Naftali Bennett, stirred up a storm last week

A new poll shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu poised for an election victory but losing support to a rival who opposes Palestinian statehood.

The Dialog poll gave 35 of parliament’s 120 seats to Netanyahu’s Likud Beiteinu list, indicating he’ll head the next government after the Jan. 22 vote. That’s down from 39 in the previous Dialog survey….READ MORE

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Israel Political Brief October 27, 2011: PM Benjamin Netanyahu Rides the Shalit Wave in Israel Polls

ISRAEL POLITICAL BRIEF

ISRAEL POLITICAL BRIEF: ISRAEL NEWS

Netanyahu Rides the Shalit Wave

Source: Virtual Jerusalem 10-27-11

There is no doubt that the results of the latest poll by the Smith Institute for “Globes” indicate a honeymoon for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The month, which began with his speech to the UN to frustrate Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas’s attempt to gain UN recognition for a Palestinian state, peaked with the return of Gilad Shalit. Netanyahu is seeing his broadest public support since the elections: were elections held today, the Likud would win 33 seats.

Likud voters are even more pleased with Netanyahu: nearly 80% of them who voted Likud in 2009 would do so again. The right wing-haredi (ultra-orthodox) bloc has reached a peak of 70 Knesset seats.

Netanyahu can definitely enjoy the polls, but he should remember President Shimon Peres’ remark that polls are like perfume: good to smell, but not to drink. As time passes, the Shalit effect will wane, and Netanyahu is liable to weaken.

The Shalit effect widened the gap between the coalition and leader of the opposition, Kadima chairwoman Tzipi Livni.

gilad shalit

Kadima’s loss of support, which began with the start of the summer’s social protest, is continuing, and the party is down to 17 Knesset seats, were elections held today.

After Livni failed to exploit the protest’s momentum to win support, her remarks about the Shalit prisoner exchange worsened her standing in the polls. Her infuriating remarks about the media coverage of Shalit’s return as a reality show apparently hit Israelis in a sensitive spot. We have not even mentioned MK Shaul Mofaz who is breathing down her neck.

The public prefers to support the Shalit deal. The poll clearly shows that it remembers only the short-term profit side of the deal, and that it is avoiding an examination of its negative consequences. Anyone who argues, as did Livni and Minister of Foreign Affairs Avigdor Liberman, who honestly expressed his position, that there is long-term danger in the deal, loses Knesset seats.

In contrast, Labor’s new chairwoman MK Shelly Yacimovich, who supported the Shalit deal from the opposition benches, saw an immediate gain. Labor would win 20 Knesset were elections held today, becoming the second largest party in the house.

Netanyahu and the Likud are reaping a dividend from nurturing Yacimovich. Likud’s support for her has brought results – she is hitting Kadima and strengthening at its expense.

Which party would you vote for were elections held today?

Figures in brackets are numbers of seats won at the last election.

Kadima: 17 Knesset seats, down from 25 in August. (28)
Likud: 33 seats, up from 26 in August. (27)
Israel Beitenu: 14 seats, down from 15 in August. (15)
Labor: 20 seats, up from 11 in August. (13)
Shas: 10 seats, down from 12 in August. (11)
United Torah Judaism: 6 seats, unchanged. (5)
National Union: 4 seats, down from 5 in August. (4)
Habayit Hayehudi: 3 seats, unchanged. (3)
Meretz: 3 seats, down from 4 in August. (3)
Arab parties: 10 seats, down from 11 in August.(11)
Green Party 0, down from 2 in August. (-)

The survey was carried out among a representative sample of 500 people.

Published by Globes [online], Israel business news – http://www.globes-online.com

Poll: Jewish support for Obama flat

ISRAEL POLITICAL BRIEF

Source: Politico, 7-5-11

Obama delivers his speech on Mideast and North Africa Policy in D.C. on May 19.

Obama’s speech on Mideast policy raised concerns about the reaction of Jewish voters. | AP Photo Close

President Barack Obama’s recent controversial speech proposing that Israel’s 1967 borders should be the basis for peace talks had virtually no impact on his standing in the Jewish community, a new poll Tuesday found.

The Gallup survey also showed that while Obama’s approval rating has declined slightly among Jews this year, that dip essentially mirrors the president’s slipping rating among all voters.

In June, Obama’s approval rating among Jewish Americans surveyed for Gallup’s daily tracking poll averaged 60 percent, down from 68 percent in May, when the president’s ratings soared among all groups in the aftermath of the killing of Osama bin Laden.

Thirty-two percent of Jews surveyed in June said they disapproved of Obama’s job performance. That rating has hovered around the same level throughout the first half of 2011.

“Gallup’s monthly trend in Jewish approval of Obama continues to roughly follow the path of all Americans’ approval of the president, more generally, as it has since Obama took office in January 2009,” Gallup said.

Among all voters, Obama’s approval rating in June was 46 percent and the 14 point difference between that and his higher rating by Jewish Americans is in line with the ratings gap that the president has had since taking office 2 ½ years ago….READ MORE

Poll shows hardening of Jewish-Arab attitudes

Source: AFP, 5-22-11

The number of Arab Israelis who deny Israel’s right to exist as a Jewish and Zionist state rose to 66.4 percent in 2010 while 29.5 percent opposed its existence under any terms, a poll said.

The survey of 1,411 Jewish and Arab Israeli adults conducted by Haifa University professor Sammy Smooha and published on Sunday said the respective numbers in 2003 were 61.4 percent and 11.2 percent.

Indicating growing radicalisation in the views of each group about the other, the 2010 survey found that 32.5 percent of Jewish Israelis supported revoking their Arab compatriots’ right to vote, compared to 24 percent in 1985….READ MORE

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